The Angels come in as losers of their last five games while the Mariners shook a recent funk and have won their last two. Yusei Kikuchi makes his sixth start and his previous five all went Over the total, mostly because of him mixed in with the Seattle bats being hot. I'm on the Over because of Kikuchi.

Kikuchi wasn't sharp in his last outing and that appears to be factored in heavily here as the Mariners are +110 against Trevor Cahill. I have the Mariners winning 51 percent of simulations which suggest they should be -105 against Cahill.