There are some crazy winds at Philadelphia on Monday night, blowing up to 20 mph. While it's blowing across the diamond, that type of wind makes it tough to field regular pop flies. This is a great pitching matchup on paper, but both haven't been fooling anyone in 2019. Phillies starter Aaron Nola has allowed 12 runs in three starts, all went Over, while the Mets' Noah Syndergaard has allowed 10 runs in three starts. Take the Over.

I have the Phillies winning 55 percent of simulations at home against Noah Syndergaard. The Phillies are a top five team against righties so far this season and everything indicates that's a real rating with a team wOBA of .347 against right-handed pitching. This is a very competitive game and will be a competitive series, but the Phillies are the better team with a much better bullpen. Lay it with the Phillies.