I just find this total to be a little too high. Orioles starter Dylan Bundy has had some problems with the Yankees in his career, but a lot of that damage was done by players who won't be in the lineup Saturday night. Plus, the Under is 3-1-1 in his five starts against the Yankees in Baltimore, and the wind blowing in slightly from center won't hurt, either.

Locking this one in now because Baltimore got off to a 4-3 start on the season that few saw coming, and has returned big value on the money line to backers thus far. The Orioles took two of three in the opening series against the Yankees this year and my simulations have them winning straight-up on Saturday nearly 40 percent of the time, making them a solid bargain on the money line with Dylan Bundy on the hill.