The Brewers have won three straight tight games and I expect the winning to continue tonight. The Brewers shut down bullpen in close games is part of what makes them attractive. Jhoulys Chacin makes his second start; his first came opening day at St. Louis where he picked up the win allowing three runs. Anthony Desclafani has allowed four runs in each of his last three starts against the Brewers last season. Brewers to win.

The Reds are off to a 1-2 start to the season and have only scored eight runs in three games, but there's value on them as a home underdog in this matchup. Reds hitters have seen a lot of Brewers starter Jhoulys Chacin during their careers, and according to Statcast data, have posted a wOBA of .356 and an expected wOBA of .375 against him. With it not being nearly as cold tonight as it has been in Cincinnati's first three games, don't be surprised if their bats warm up tonight.