The Giants faced three lefties in their four games at Petco Park and were only able to produce four runs and now they get another with Julio Urias, who comes off an amazing spring in Arizona where he held batters to a .098 batting average. I don't expect much from the Giants bats in this game and they've stayed Under in all four over the weekend, but the Dodgers are another story. They're mashing right now -- 42 runs in four games, all four games went Over. Over is the play.

It's a big money line price to pay, but the Dodgers have looked good, including an 18-run explosion Saturday and eight-plus runs in three of four so far. The Giants managed more than one run just once in four games at San Diego. L.A. takes this game in a huge 74 percent of my simulations, so the value is still on the favorite here.