I also recommend Under 7 at -130, even though the juice is 30 cents higher, the 7-mark is a key number. With that being said, I only made this total 5.5 and think the key number could be five. Mariners starter James Paxton is 3-0 with a 0.87 ERA in three starts against the Astros and that was with Carlos Correa, Jose Altuve and George Springer in the lineup. The three best right-handed hitters in the Astros' lineup equal 55 cents and one run off the total. And you have Justin Verlander starting for Houston. Enough said.

I look forward to a great pitching matchup, but the Mariners come in struggling, having won two of their last 10 contests. But at least they have James Paxton on the mound, which helps me go against their current trends. Two starts ago, he helped shut out the Astros 2-0. In his three starts against Houston this season, Paxton has won all three. I'm going with Seattle to win.

This is a terrific pitching matchup between Justin Verlander and James Paxton, but while both have been great, one has had more success against tonight's opponent than the other. In his 20.2 innings against the Astros, James Paxton has struck out 21 while posting an ERA of 0.87 and going 3-0 against them in three starts. He's held Houston hitters to a wOBA of .219 and an OPS of .605. There's plenty of value on The Big Maple and the Mariners Thursday.