The Reds have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last two weeks. The Braves enter this game having lost two of their last six games, all against teams well under .500, including the Reds on Tuesday night. There's value on the Reds here.

My numbers say the Braves will defeat the Reds nearly two-thirds of the time in their Wednesday matinee, making Atlanta a strong value play at this moderate price. The Braves are 6-1 in their last seven games when Sean Newcomb starts against losing opponents, while the Reds are 1-4 in the last five starts by Luis Castillo.