The Cardinals have lost all three of John Gant's starts with him allowing a total 12 runs. But he's getting too much credit here with the short price. So are the Cards and so is the Busch Stadium home-field edge. The Indians come in riding a seven-game win streak with Mike Clevinger in his best form of 2018 coming off a stellar double-digit strikeout performances allowing just one earned run in each. Indians to win.

Pitcher Mike Clevinger has been a big part of the Indians' recent success and has a 3.00 ERA for his Monday start against the Cardinals. St. Louis has won only three of its previous 11 games and sends John Gant, with a 6.00 ERA over his last three games, to the bump. My trusty simulations have Cleveland taking this decision by an average of over a run nearly two-thirds of the time. Plenty of value with the Tribe here.