The Mets would normally be a liability with a total this high, but their lineup is showing signs of coming around. The Rockies can be counted on at Coors Field to do their share. Take the Over in this matchup Tuesday.

Jason Vargas has an ERA of 9.15 on the road while allowing five home runs in 20 1/3 innings. Vargas is 65 cents below the average pitcher on the road. German Marquez has an ERA of 7.71 ERA at Home. I have Marquez rated 25 cents below average when pitching at home. The Rockies are 15-3 Over in their last 18 games.

A total of 11.5 is really high, even at Coors Field. The Mets have shown nearly no ability to hit or score runs, and while there's always the chance Colorado blows up offensively, my advanced computer is projecting around 10 runs to be scored. Take the Under here.