Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Colorado pitcher Chad Bettis is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.44 and yet I like the game Over. Bettis has probably been the luckiest pitcher in baseball with a 95% left on bases rate while the batting average on balls in play is just .217. Both of those are great indicators that Bettis is about to get a little unlucky. Bettis is walking 3.6 runners per nine innings and striking out just 5.4, both horrible numbers. The Padres' Bryan Mitchell has been even worse with 7.8 walks per nine and only 3.2 strikeouts. Mitchell's ERA is 5.03 and he has been lucky, his xFIP ERA is 6.27. The Padres' offensive numbers are always low because of Petco, plus playing games in Dodger Stadium and the Giants' AT&T Park doesn't help. They will be excited to be in hitter-friendly Coors Field.