The Cardinals come in riding a five-game win streak and only 1.5 games behind Pittsburgh in the NL Central while the Cubs are looking to get back to .500 with a win. Winds are blowing in a bit from left field meaning we should have a nice pitching match-up. The Cubs have won all three of Jon Lester's starts thanks to the bats putting up almost 10 runs a game for him. Pittsburgh knocked him around for five innings. But no one is knocking Luke Weaver around. Just four runs allowed in three starts. Cards get the win.

Luke Weaver (2-0, 2.08 ERA) has been strong early in the season and allows significantly fewer base runners (0.98 WHIP) than opponent Jon Lester (1.67 WHIP). The Cubs are just 2-4 at chilly Wrigley Field thus far, so back the Cardinals (8-3 away) if this game goes on as scheduled today.

Jon Lester is still Mr. Steady. You know exactly what your going to get when he takes the hill. Lester is 40 cents better than the average pitcher at home. His xFIP ERA over the last three years is just over 3.00. The 24-year old Cardinals righty Luke Weaver looks like he is going to have a great career. But with just 21 starts under his belt, he is still learning on the go and picking up valuable experience. I have Weaver rated 20 cents better than the average pitcher on the road. The Cubs' offense ranks fifth in the league, averaging six runs per game, while St Louis ranks 26th with an average of just three runs per game.