The Pirates have won 11 of their last 13, including their last five, which ended with a four game sweep of first-place Milwaukee. They've stayed Under in their last seven, making them 23-5-1 to the Under in their last 29 overall. In their last 11 wins, 10 of them have stayed Under. Colorado has finally got its bats working and has gone Over in six straight. The Rockies come in riding a four-game win streak. Pittsburgh has won eight of the past nine meetings at Coors Field. The Pirates are the top play here.

Value has slid on the Rockies as their pitching staff has struggled lately. Jeff Hoffman has an ERA of 4.33 and most wonder if he can hold it together tonight against the streaking Pirates. But I expect him to come through and lead Colorado to victory.