My simulations say the Yankees and Angels should combine for about nine runs Wednesday, giving us an Under play with room to spare against a total of 10.5. The Under is 10-1 in the past 11 starts by Ricky Nolasco of Los Angeles, while New York is on a 5-1 Under run at home against teams with losing records.

The Yankees are glad to get back home after losing six straight on the road and they'll get a chance to face Parker Bridwell, who makes his second career start and first in three weeks. The Yanks are 22-9 at home and all their hitters seem to get in a groove when there. They average 6.6 runs a game at home while batting .286. I'm not laying the massive price, but with the wind blowing out to center at 10 mph, I'm on the Over.