David Price hasn't gotten into a groove since being activated off the DL and I'm looking for that to continue tonight as the Astros try to win the series. Joe Musgrove comes off his best back-to-back outings of the season, allowing just two runs combined. Boston is averaging only 3.3 runs a game over its last seven, which is about what Houston allows at home. The Red Sox have scored three runs total in the first two games of this series. I like Houston in this spot.

I'm projecting 7.8 runs for Red Sox-Astros on Sunday Night Baseball, indicating a strong Under play. The Under is cashing in 72 percent of my simulations. With Joe Musgrove pitching well and David Price more than capable of turning in a gem, I'm going Under.