Diamondbacks starter Taijuan Walker has an ERA of 2.39 in five road starts, but he has been inconsistent overall, with a record of 4-3 and 3.46 ERA. Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann has struggled all season, as evidenced by his 5.72 ERA despite two solid recent outings. These clubs are on a combined 11-2 to run to the Over, and I look for it to hit again Wednesday.

The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Jordan Zimmerman does not deserve to be favored over Arizona, no matter who is the mound for the snakes. Zimmerman has a .405 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters and he hasn't been much better against right-handed hitters. The D-Backs are winning 54 percent of simulations in the wOBA model.

My numbers have been crunched and they tell me the Diamondbacks should win their Wednesday matchup with the Tigers about 64 percent of the time, giving us a whopping value on the underdog. Arizona has won five straight Wednesday games and are 9-1 in Game 2 of a series. The Tigers are 3-7 in the last 10 starts by Jordan Zimmermann against winning teams.