The wind at Citi Field is blowing out to right field at 12 mph, and we've got the top Over team in baseball with the Mets (32-11-8) facing the fourth-best Over team with Milwaukee (31-20-2). Chase Anderson comes off a masterful start at home against Arizona, but four of his five road starts have gone Over. None of Zack Wheeler's nine starts have gone Under. Over is the play here.

The trusty projection model tells me the Brewers will keep their Thursday game with the Mets a one-score affair about 70 percent of the time, giving us solid footing to back Milwaukee on the run line at -135. Milwaukee is 5-2 in Game 4 of a series and 7-3 in its last 10 Thursday games. Look for the Brewers to keep this one close and cash for us on the run line.