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Week 3 NFL picks from a top-ranked computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past two seasons, picks every NFL game.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. 

In a straight-up, pick'em format, our proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017, performing better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

It also nailed its last three top-rated picks in Week 2 of this season, including backing the Kansas City Chiefs against the spread (+4.5) and on the money line (+170) for their big upset of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Now it has simulated every snap of Week 3 of the 2018 NFL season and the results are in. 

We can tell you that the model is calling for the Rams (-7) to roll over the Chargers in a Los Angeles battle. Jared Goff throws for over 250 yards, while Todd Gurley has a great chance to record 100 yards on the ground as the Rams cover the spread in almost 55 percent of simulations. 

The model also has a strong selection for the 49ers-Chiefs showdown featuring Jimmy Garoppolo and Patrick Mahomes, and is calling for a team with postseason aspirations to get stunned at home by an underdog. 

So which teams should you back in Week 3 of the NFL season? Join SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that has outperformed 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past two seasons.

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SportsLine Staff