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Week 13 NFL picks from a top-ranked computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past two seasons, picks every NFL game.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. 

SportsLine's proprietary computer model went 176-80 straight-up last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 13 on a blistering 13-2 run. For the season, it is now 27-11 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 75-45. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model went 12-3 last week and is 118-56 for the season, ranking in the top five on NFLPickWatch.com.

Now it has simulated every snap of Week 13 of the 2018 NFL season and the results are in. 

We can tell you the model is extremely high on the Rams (-10) on the road at Detroit. According to the model, the Rams get almost 350 yards through the air from Jared Goff, while running back Todd Gurley accounts for 150 yards of total offense as LA covers in almost 55 percent of simulations. The Over (55), meanwhile, hits 60 percent of the time. 

The model also has a strong pick for the huge battle between the Patriots and Vikings, and is calling for a top Super Bowl contender to go down in a game that will shake up the playoff picture forever.

So which teams should you back in Week 13 of the NFL season? And which contender goes down hard? Join SportsLine here to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that has outperformed 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past two seasons!

SportsLine Staff