Week 12 NFL picks from a top-ranked computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past two seasons, picks every NFL game.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. 

In a straight-up, pick'em format, our proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017, performing better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on all A-rated picks last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 12 on a blistering 12-0 run. For the season, it is now 26-9 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 74-43. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model is 105-53 this season, again ranking in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. And it nailed all three games on Thanksgiving. Anybody who has been following it is way, way up. 

Now it has simulated every snap of Week 12 of the 2018 NFL season and the results are in. 

We can tell you the model is extremely high on the Seahawks (+3.5) on the road at Carolina. Russell Wilson is projected to throw for almost 250 yards, while Chris Carson, Rashaad Penny and the rest of Seattle's backs pile up over 100 yards on the ground as the Seahawks cover in more than 60 percent of simulations. The Over (47) hits in more than half of simulations as well.

The model has has a strong pick for the AFC battle between the Steelers and Broncos, and is also calling for a Super Bowl contender to get a huge scare in Week 12.

So which teams should you back in Week 12 of the NFL season? And which contender goes down HARD? Join SportsLine here to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that has outperformed 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past two seasons!

SportsLine Staff