The Milwaukee Bucks host the Golden State Warriors in a cross-conference showdown at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Milwaukee is favored by one point at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 224.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Golden State is the NBA's best defensive team. Opponents are shooting 42.6 percent against the Warriors this season, lowest in the NBA, and Golden State holds the opposition to 32.7 percent from 3-point distance. The Warriors are in the top two in assists allowed (21.6 per game) and steals (9.6 per game), with a top-eight mark in defensive rebound rate at 74 percent. Overall, the Warriors hold opponents to 102.6 points per 100 possessions, combining that resistance with a top-tier offense to win at a high level.

The model also knows the Bucks are tremendous on both offense and defense. Milwaukee is outscoring opponents by five points per 100 possessions in home games, and the Bucks are near the top of the league in 3-pointers (14.3 per game) and 3-point accuracy (36.0 percent). The Bucks do a good job on the glass, including a 27.3 percent offensive rebound rate, and Milwaukee averages 14.1 second-chance points per game. Milwaukee is in the top eight of the NBA in myriad defensive categories, including field goal shooting allowed and 3-point shooting allowed.

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Bucks. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Bucks spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!