After suffering down years in 2022, both the Auburn Tigers and Texas A&M Aggies look to start fast in SEC West action when they kick off the conference season on Saturday. The Tigers (3-0) have had a lot of recent success in SEC openers, going 52-32-5 (.612) all-time and are 25-5 over the last 30 league openers. Last season they posted a 17-14 overtime win over Missouri. The Aggies (2-1) will look to find the end zone early as Texas A&M is 32-5 when scoring first and is 30-2 when leading after the first quarter, since the Jimbo Fisher era began in December 2017.
Kickoff from Kyle Field in College Station, Texas, is set for noon ET. The Aggies are favored by 8 points in the latest Auburn vs. Texas A&M odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 51, per SportsLine consensus.
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The model knows Texas A&M sophomore quarterback Conner Weigman is off to a solid start to the season. In three games, he has completed 74 of 105 passes (70.5%) for 909 yards and eight touchdowns. He has been intercepted twice and has a rating of 164.5. He has also carried 11 times for 69 yards (6.3 average) and two scores. In last week's big win, he completed 25 of 29 passes (86.2%) for 337 yards and one TD. It was his second consecutive 300-yard passing game.
It also knows Auburn junior quarterback Payton Thorne, a transfer from Michigan State, leads the Tigers' offense. In three games, he has completed 43 of 63 passes (68.3%) for 517 yards and four touchdowns. He has been picked off three times, but has a rating of 148.6. Thorne also leads the team in rushing, carrying 22 times for 140 yards (6.4 average) and two scores. He has a long run of 38 yards. In the win over Samford, he completed 24 of 32 passes (75%) for 282 yards and a touchdown.
The model has simulated Auburn vs. Texas A&M 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
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