loading...

Suns vs. Mavericks line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Thursday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks
Hero Image

The Phoenix Suns visit the Dallas Mavericks in a marquee Western Conference face-off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Phoenix is favored by two points on the road, while the Over-Under is set at 216.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Suns vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Suns are elite on both ends of the floor, but Phoenix is notably dominant on defense. Phoenix is No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up only 1.04 points per possession, and opponents are shooting 43.6 percent against the Suns. Phoenix is also holding opponents to just 32.7 percent shooting from 3-point range and 22.6 assists per game. The Suns are in the top five in fast-break points allowed (11.1 per game), with Phoenix also creating 15.1 turnovers and 8.6 steals per contest.

The model also knows Dallas is very good on defense. The Mavericks are allowing fewer than 1.07 points per possession, ranking in the top five of the NBA. Dallas is securing more than 74 percent of available rebounds on the defensive glass, and the Mavericks are in the top eight of the NBA in second-chance points allowed. Dallas is in the top 10 in free-throw prevention and assists allowed, with opponents only making 11 3-pointers per game against the Mavericks.

Now, it has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavericks. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Suns vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread has all the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Suns vs. Mavericks spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

SportsLine Staff