One surprise: No. 4-seed Gonzaga is a strong favorite to come out of this region. The Bulldogs have a 43.2 percent chance of reaching the Final Four, the best of any team in the region. And they have a 68.8 percent chance of toppling FSU in the first round.
Another shocker: Michigan easily covers a three-point spread against Texas A&M. They're winning the game outright in 69 percent of our simulations.
So what other teams do you need to back in the Sweet 16, Elite Eight, Final Four, and national championship? Join SportsLine now to see what favorite goes down hard, and what team advances out of a wide open South to play Gonzaga, all from the model that nailed 12 of the 18 double-digit upsets in the first round the last three years.