After a brief run in the national top 25 rankings, SMU (7-2, 3-2 AAC) has lost two in a row. The Mustangs try to stop the bleeding at home this weekend against UCF (6-3, 4-2). After losing to No. 5 Cincinnati 56-21 on October 16, UCF held its next three opponents to just 24 total points, all victories for the Knights.

Kickoff is set for noon ET next Saturday from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX, where SMU is 4-0 overall and against the spread as a home favorite this season. The Mustangs are favored by seven points in the latest SMU vs. UCF odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 60.5. Before you make any UCF vs. SMU picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

Now, it has simulated SMU vs. UCF 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins SMU vs. UCF? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks ... If you're already a member, see the picks below!