The Houston Texans, winners of four straight, host the 4-3 Miami Dolphins at 8:20 p.m. ET on "Thursday Night Football."
If you're going to bet this prime-time showdown -- in which the Texans are favored by 7.5 -- you need to see what our advanced projection model has to say. The model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times.
In a straight-up, pick'em format, our proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017, performing better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
It went 10-4 straight-up in a wild Week 7, including calling the Patriots' huge win over the Bears, improving its record to a blistering 71-34 on the season. And when it comes to all of its top-rated picks, it is now on a strong 62-43 run. Anybody who has been following those picks is way, way up.
Now, it has simulated Dolphins vs. Texans to produce strong against the spread and Over-Under picks. We will tell you that the model is leaning toward the Over (44.5), but it has also locked in a bold point-spread pick that hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before you lock in your own picks.
Who wins Dolphins vs. Texans? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine here to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons!