The New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons kick off at 8:20 p.m. ET on Thanksgiving Day.
Drew Brees continues to play MVP front-runner as the Saints ride a nine-game winning streak. But they have stiff competition in divisional rival Atlanta, which is fighting for its playoff life.
If you're going to bet this important showdown -- in which the Saints are favored by 12.5 -- you need to see what our advanced projection model has to say. The model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times.
In a straight-up, pick'em format, our proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017, performing better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 12 on a strong 12-0 run. For the season, it is now 26-9 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a blistering 74-43. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model is 105-53 this season, again ranking in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. Anybody who has been following it is way, way up.
Now, it has simulated Falcons vs. Saints to produce strong against-the-spread and Over-Under picks. We will tell you that the model is leaning toward the Over (60.5), but it also says one side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see if before locking in your own picks.
Who wins Falcons vs. Saints? And which side of the spread cashes almost 60 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine here to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Thanksgiving, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons!