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Projected NASCAR leaderboard for the 2019 South Point 400

The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated NASCAR at Las Vegas 10,000 times.
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The NASCAR schedule rolls on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET with the 2019 South Point 400. Our proven projection model has simulated this storied event at Las Vegas Motor Speedway 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to an extremely strong start in NASCAR this year. It correctly predicted Martin Truex Jr.'s victory at the Toyota/Save Mart 350. It also called Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five, and then hit nine of the top 10 drivers last week at the Go Bowling at The Glen. Additionally, it had Coca-Cola 600 winner Martin Truex Jr. in its top two and then nailed Kyle Busch's huge win in the first race at Pocono.

It also made some huge calls last year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. It also nailed three of the top four finishers at Michigan and two of the top four at the Daytona 500. Anybody who has followed its picks is WAY up!

For NASCAR at Las Vegas, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 18-1 odds. And a massive shocker: Brad Keselowski, one of the Vegas favorites at 5-1, fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded lineup.

The model is also targeting three OTHER drivers with NASCAR at Las Vegas odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2019 South Point 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected final leaderboard for NASCAR at Las Vegas, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks!

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