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    NFL Week 3 power rankings: Simulated futures odds for all 32 teams from proven analytics model

    With Week 2 in the books, the SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the season 10,000 times and has some surprising futures projections.
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    The Green Bay Packers avoided an 0-2 start on Monday night by thrashing the Lions, who are one of just seven winless teams after two weeks of the season. Seven teams have also started 2-0, but that group has come entirely from just three divisions, including three from the NFC West.

    Updated futures odds from Caesars Sportsbook make the Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) the slight favorite to win the Super Bowl at +525, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0) right behind the presumptive AFC favorite at +550. Three teams are tied for the next shortest odds at +1200: the Los Angeles Rams (2-0), the San Francisco 49ers (2-0) and the Buffalo Bills (1-1).

    Before you place any futures bets on who wins the Super Bowl and each conference or division, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection model has to say.

    The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on an incredible 122-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

    The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick 'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

    Below, you can find the power ranking for all 32 teams based on the model's "neutral sim%," which is calculated based on the number of simulations they win playing healthy (in February) vs. every other team on a neutral field. You'll also find the simulation's projection for how often each team wins their division, conference and the Super Bowl, compared to the current available odds, along with notes from the model's creator, Stephen Oh.

    Which team is keeping the 2-0 Bucs out of the top two spots in the power rankings? And which AFC contender is a great value on their current Super Bowl odds? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 2 power rankings from the proven NFL model which has delivered consistent positive value on its picks!

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    SportsLine Staff

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