Before you lock in any NFL props for Week 16, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 22-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 16 on an incredible 118-76 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

After simulating every Week 16 game 10,000 times and examining the hundreds of player props from William Hill Sportsbook, we can tell you the model loves Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers to Under 304.5 passing yards (-115).

In addition, the model is high on another star quarterback to go Under his passing yardage total. The model says this player provides value at this price. You NEED to see the model's analysis before making any Week 16 prop bets.

Which star quarterback falls short of his passing yardage total? And what other prop bets does the model love for Week 16? ... Join SportsLine now to see the top Week 16 prop bets, all from the model that's up almost $7,900 on NFL picks!