Last week, we featured the Saints at the top of this article, and they became the fifth straight team to get that honor and then go on and cover. Throw in covers for those picks in Weeks 7 and 8 and the featured pick here is 7-1 since Week 6. In a largely ho-hum season for my picks overall, where I'm just a tiny bit over .500 in both the Westgate SuperContest and Circa Sports Million, the one reliable play for much of the year has been the pick I'm about to share below (though I'm sure you saw it in the headline and haven't forgotten yet).
I've been SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert over the last four years, going 354-292-22 against the spread in particular during that stretch. I've also delivered a 57.1 percent hit rate on my SuperContest picks over the last six seasons, which is exactly what you're getting below. And that run includes two finishes in the money, including finishing 18th out of 2,748 entries back in 2017.
If you're a SportsLine subscriber, you can get all my picks, which in a typical NFL week number in the double digits, at the same time as I make them by downloading the app and signing up for alerts on my expert page. That's crucial, as you might not have access to the same lines from the Las Vegas contests, which don't move after they're posted mid-week. This week, I'm fading a beat-up offense and backing a team with a quarterback likely making one of the last home starts in his career: the Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 vs. the Tennessee Titans.
The Titans are coming off a shutout win over the Jaguars that means absolutely nothing, with Proven Winner Urban Meyer being shown the door days later after looking as lost all year coaching an NFL team as he looked in the postgame coaching handshake with Mike Vrabel on Sunday. But the Tennessee offense really didn't do much in that game, gaining 263 yards of offense while just not having to turn the ball over to win. And that was a problem before the bye, with the Titans committing nine turnovers in losses to the Patriots and Texans.
The Steelers have managed to rally back from big deficits in two of their last four games, as their offense has largely been MIA in the first half before coming alive late in the game. Ben Roethlisberger may be on his farewell tour, and this could be one of his last games playing in front of the Pittsburgh faithful. The Steelers haven't lost at home since Week 3, and while that run does include an embarrassing tie against the Lions, remember that Big Ben missed that game. I expect him to play well here, and I don't expect the Titans offense to match that output.
Get the rest of my SuperContest picks and my Circa Million picks below.
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