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Kings vs. Warriors line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Monday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 20, 2021 2:06PM UTC . 3 min read

The Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors match up in a Pacific Division battle at 10 p.m. ET on Monday. Golden State is favored by 13.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 223.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Kings vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Kings are efficient and effective on offense. Sacramento is scoring 109.9 points per 100 possessions, with top-flight offensive rebounding and free throw creation. The Kings are securing 28.6 percent of available offensive rebounds, and Sacramento is No. 2 in the NBA in creating 23.0 free-throw attempts per game. Sacramento also takes care of the ball well, committing a turnover on only 14.0 percent of offensive possessions.

The model also knows the Warriors are out-scoring opponents by more than 10 points per 100 possessions. That is an elite net rating by any description, and Golden State has top-five marks in offense and defense. The Warriors lead the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed at 42.5 percent, and Golden State also leads the league in defensive rebound rate at 75.6 percent. Golden State is the best passing team in the NBA, leading the league in assists and assist percentage, and the Warriors are in the top five in 2-point shooting and fast-break points, with top-flight offensive rebounding and perimeter shooting.

Now, it has set its sights on Kings vs. Warriors. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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