The Baylor Bears host the Texas Longhorns in an important Big 12 football showdown Saturday. Kickoff from McLane Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Bears are 4-point favorites and the Over-Under for total points scored is 58.5 in the latest Texas vs. Baylor odds. 

Before you lock in your Texas vs. Baylor picks, you need to hear what SportsLine senior analyst Josh Nagel has to say. A Nevada-based handicapper with more than 20 years of experience in the sports wagering industry. Nagel was SportsLIne's top college football analyst last season and is having another strong year for SportsLine members. 

What's more, he has had a particularly keen eye for the trajectories of these Big 12 programs, posting an incredible record of 23-6 on against-the-spread picks involving the Longhorns or Bears over the past two seasons! Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.

Now, Nagel has made his picks for Texas vs. Baylor. We can tell you he's leaning toward the Under, but he also has isolated a critical x-factor that has him going BIG on one side of the spread! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own. 

Who wins Texas vs. Baylor? And which critical x-factor makes one side of the spread hit HARD? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Texas vs. Baylor spread to back on Saturday, all from the seasoned expert who has hit 79 percent of his picks on these teams!