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CFB: ACC Week 11 Projected Final Scores Revealed

Miami takes on Notre Dame in a game with huge College Football Playoff implications, while Clemson can clinch an ACC title game berth on Saturday.
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The college football landscape would be so much more fair and exciting if the playoffs expanded to eight teams-- there, I said it -- but that’s not the case now.

But if you really want to pretend it is, the closest thing to a College Football Playoff quarterfinal could be Saturday.

Miami, unbeaten and ranked No. 5 in the latest CFP rankings, takes on No. 3 Notre Dame in the marquee game of Week 11 schedule. The winner gets a resume-completing victory.

CBS SPORTS: THE BIG TEN HAS DIVISIONAL PROBLEMS

Miami leapfrogged another unbeaten in Wisconsin in the latest rankings, thanks to an impressive 28-10 win over No. 13 Virginia Tech, a game in which the Hokies were favored.

Miami must stop the big-play potential of RB Josh Adams, a Heisman Trophy contender who’s had seven TD runs of 60 yards or more this year, tops in the nation.

CBS SPORTS: OKLAHOMA DEFENSE A BIG PROBLEM

Notre Dame proved two weeks ago it could run on anyone, when it faced the sixth-ranked N.C. State rush defense and gashed it for 318 yards.

The two old rivals have faced off just three times since 1990, with the Irish winning in 2010, 2012 and edging out a 30-27 win last season in South Bend.

At 6-0 in the ACC, the Hurricanes have nearly locked up the ACC Coastal Division title and berth into the conference championship game. Virginia is still in the mix. 

Last week, Clemson handed N.C. State its first ACC loss, 38-31. The Tigers can secure the ACC Atlantic Division title with a win Saturday at home against Florida State.

The Seminoles (3-5) never really recovered from the season-opening, season-ending injury to QB Deondre Francois. They just rescheduled their game against Louisiana-Monroe in the hopes of getting bowl eligible, a big drop from a team ranked No. 3 to open the year.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated college football games 10,000 times and came up with final scores and projected player statistics.

Below are the matchups for Week 11 of the ACC, with projected final scores and statistics. Projections are updated every 10 minutes.

Thursday, Nov. 9

NORTH CAROLINA AT PITTSBURGH, 7:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Pittsburgh 32, North Carolina 21

Vegas line: The Panthers are favored by 9 points (O/U 52.5)

Projected Statistics: Ben DiNucci throws for 249 yards and 1.75 TDs with Jester Weah catching 3.3 balls for 62 yard for Pittsburgh. Chazz Surratt passes for 249 yards and Jordon Brown runs 19.9 times for 122 yards for the Tar Heels.

Saturday, Nov. 11

DUKE AT ARMY, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Army 22, Duke 21

Vegas line: The Blue Devils are a 3-point road favorite (O/U 47.5)

Projected Statistics: Ahmad Bradshaw runs for 92 yards and Darnell Woolfolk runs for 70 more for West Point. Duke’s Daniel Jones passes for 264 yards and 1.32 TDs and Shaun Wilson runs for 82 yards.

NORTH CAROLINA STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: N.C. State 25, Boston College 23

Vegas line: The Wolfpack are giving 3 points on the road (O/U 52)

Projected Statistics: Ryan Finley passes for 285 yards and 1.71 TDs and Kelvin Harmon catches 5.1 balls for 76 yards for N.C. State. Anthony Brown throws for 158 yards for B.C.

VIRGINIA TECH AT GEORGIA TECH, 12:20 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Virginia Tech 27, Georgia Tech 21

Vegas line: The Hokies are at -3, from -1.5 to open (O/U 50)

Projected Statistics: Josh Jackson passes for 246 yards and 1.66 TDs and Cam Phillips gets 5.3 receptions for 69 yards for the Hokies. TaQuon Marshall passes for 80 yards and runs for 81 more for the Yellow Jackets.

WAKE FOREST AT SYRACUSE, 3 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Wake Forest 31, Syracuse 23

Vegas line: The Orange are favored by 1 point at home (O/U 61.5)

Projected Statistics: John Wolford goes for 259 yards and 1.78 TDs passing for the Demon Deacons. For Syracuse, Eric Dungey passes for 286 yards, 1.51 TDs and 1.87 INTs and runs for 46 more yards.

VIRGINIA AT LOUISVILLE, 3:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Louisville 41, Virginia 26

Vegas line: The Cardinals are favored by 10.5 points (O/U 65)

Projected Statistics: Lamar Jackson throws for 331 yards and runs for 81 more for the Cardinals. Kurt Benkert passes for 302 yards, 2.02 TDs and 1.51 INTs for the Cavaliers.

FLORIDA STATE AT CLEMSON, 3:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Clemson 32, Florida State 11

Vegas line: The Tigers are a 16-point home favorite (O/U 46)

Projected Statistics: Kelly Bryant passes for 242 yards and 1.67 TDs for Clemson. Cam Akers runs for 73 yards on 16.8 carries to lead State.

NOTRE DAME AT MIAMI (FLA.), 8 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Notre Dame 26, Miami 22

Vegas line: The Fighting Irish are at -3.5 (O/U 57.5)

Projected Statistics: Brandon Wimbush throws for 152 yards and 1.30 TDs and Josh Adams runs 14.3 times for 106 yards for Notre Dame. Malik Rosier goes for 235 yards, 1.47 TDs and 1.17 INTs and Ahmmon Richards catches 4.5 balls for 76 yards for the Hurricanes.

So who should you pick in every Week 11 college football game? Join SportsLine now to get every pick from the model that had double-digit profitable weeks last season, plus find out which Top-15 teams' playoff hopes end this weekend.

Adam ThompsonStaff Analyst