Tom Brady returns to Foxborough as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the New England Patriots at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday Night Football. Tampa Bay is favored by 6.5 at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 49.5. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Patriots picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows the Buccaneers have been dominant offensively this season. Tampa Bay leads the league in scoring with 103 points and is in the top two in passing touchdowns and passing yards. Brady leads the NFL in completions (97) and passing touchdowns (10), with the Bucs also ranking in the top quarter of the league with 406 total yards per game. Tampa Bay has elite skill players, including Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, and they are difficult for any team to defend. Tight end Rob Gronkowski is doubtful with a rib injury.

The model also knows the Patriots have a very stout defense. New England is a top-five unit in scoring defense (17 points allowed per game) and total defense (282.3 yards per game) this season, and is allowing only 1.33 points per drive. The Patriots have been excellent against the pass, giving up only three touchdowns and fewer than 160 yards per game, and they are forcing a turnover on 15.2 percent of drives in 2021.

Now, the model has set its sights on Buccaneers vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Patriots vs. Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Buccaneers vs. Patriots spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 123-81 roll on NFL picks!