Before you make any prop bets for Week 3 of the NFL season, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 5-2 start on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 3 on an incredible 101-67 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. 

Last week the model hit two huge prop bets: Jonnu Smith to score the first TD (+1200) and Raheem Mostert to score the first TD (+600). So far this season the model is up $290. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

After simulating every Week 3 game 10,000 times, we can tell you the model loves Packers running back Aaron Jones (+550) to score the first touchdown in the game against the Saints.

In addition, the model is high on a +1600 long shot to score the first touchdown in one of the Week 3 games. The model says this player is an "intriguing long shot" at this price. You NEED to see the model's analysis before making any Week 3 prop bets.

What +1600 long shot is a must-back? And what other prop bets does the model love for Week 3? ... Join SportsLine now to see the top Week 3 prop bets, all from the model that's up $7,300 on NFL picks!