The Milwaukee Bucks fell flat in Game 5 against the Toronto Raptors, dropping a 105-99 decision at home to fall behind 3-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals. Despite entering that contest as a significant betting favorite and opening a double-digit lead on multiple occasions, Giannis Antetokounmpo and company couldn't close the deal and, as a result, Milwaukee faces long odds to make the NBA Finals, at least through the prism of history.
Teams leading 3-2 in a best-of-7 series emerge victorious more than 82 percent of the time in NBA history, providing optimism for the Raptors and a daunting task, at least on paper, for the Bucks. It should be noted that the percentages are kinder when the team trailing in the series is also the No. 1 overall seed with Game 7 at home but, in the same breath, Milwaukee enters Game 6 as a 2-point underdog and the Bucks have been unable to solve the riddle that is Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
With the Game 5 defeat, the Bucks lost their third straight contest for the first time this season. Following the loss, Antetokounmpo was clear that Milwaukee won't go quietly, telling reporters in plain terms that he considers Milwaukee to be the best team in the NBA. Still, it will take a complete team effort to overcome a rejuvenated Raptors team, particularly with the way the Bucks have struggled to generate efficient, effective offense in non-transition situations during the entirety of the series.
The Bucks are currently long-shots at 7-1 in the latest NBA championship odds, with Toronto at 7-2 and the Golden State Warriors, awaiting the Bucks-Raptors winner after a four-game sweep of the Portland Trail Blazers, favored at 5-13.