The NASCAR season rolls on Sunday with the 2019 O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway, and the green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET. Our proven model has simulated this huge event 10,000 times to come up with a surprising projected leaderboard.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.
The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers in McClure's projected top five went on to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anybody who has followed its picks is WAY up.
For NASCAR at Texas, we can tell you the model is high on Aric Almirola, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 30-1 odds. And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the top Vegas favorites at 10-1, doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values than the 10-1 premium he's commanding..
The model is also targeting three OTHER drivers with 2019 O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 odds of 25-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2019 O'Reilly Auto Parts 500? And which long shots stun NASCAR? ... Join SportsLine here to see the full projected final leaderboard for NASCAR at Texas from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks!