Two European squads square off in the second 2018 World Cup semifinal as Croatia takes on England at 2 p.m. ET Wednesday. Sportsbooks list England at +135 on the money line (after 90 minutes), meaning a $100 bet to win would return $135. Croatia is going off at +230, while a draw after regulation returns +220. To simply bet on which team advances, England is -165 and Croatia +135. The Over-Under for total goals scored is set at 2.
Before placing any bet, you need to see who European soccer expert David Sumpter is picking. Sumpter is an applied mathematician and author of "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Along with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.
Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.
The model is crushing the World Cup knockout stage. It correctly predicted draws in regulation for Spain-Russia (+280), Croatia-Denmark (+225) and England-Colombia (+215) and was all over France beating Uruguay in regulation to reach the semifinals, not to mention Brazil and Belgium cruising in their Round of 16 matchups. Earlier, the model nailed draws for Argentina-Iceland (+385) and Brazil-Switzerland (+360) and predicted Iran upsetting Morocco at +275, just to name a few of its big calls. Anyone who has followed it is way, way up.
We can tell you the model is leaning Over 2 goals for Croatia-England, but its MUCH stronger play is on the money line.
Who wins Croatia-England on Wednesday? And where does all of the betting value lie?... Join SportsLine here to see Soccerbot's exclusive recommendations, all from the model that keeps crushing sportsbooks with its international soccer picks!