With only one point entering its final Group D match, Argentina must secure three points against Nigeria if it has any hope of advancing to the knockout stage. The squads square off Tuesday at 2 p.m. in a crucial match for both.
Argentina is posted at -195 on the money line, meaning you would need to wager $195 on an Argentine victory to win $100. Nigeria is at +500 (risk $100 to win $500), while a draw is +340. The Over-Under on total goals scored is 2.5, with the Over a -130 favorite.
Before making any bet, you need to see who European soccer expert David Sumpter is picking. Sumpter is an applied mathematician and author of "Soccermatics: Mathematical Adventures in the Beautiful Game," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Together, with other experienced analysts, Professor Sumpter developed the powerful "Soccerbot" model.
Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.
Soccerbot already has called Senegal (+220) upsetting Poland, Denmark and Australia playing to a draw (+265) and Iran (+275) defeating Morocco, just to name a few.
We can tell you the model is leaning toward the Over, but its much stronger play is on the money line.
Does Argentina or Nigeria win on Tuesday? And where does the betting value lie? ... Join SportsLine here to see Soccerbot's exclusive recommendations, all from the model that keeps crushing sportsbooks with its international soccer picks!