Chicago Bears WR Alshon Jeffery is headed for free agency, and if you know where he's going, you're a lot smarter than oddsmakers.
According to BookMaker.eu, Jeffery is +2500, a long shot, to remain in Chicago in 2017 either under the franchise tag or a long-term deal. That means you'd win $2,500 just for betting $100.
Jeffery, an impending free agent, had a career-low two touchdowns in 2016 and spent four games on the bench for violating the NFL's substance abuse policy. He's played 21 games the last two seasons and scored just six times.
Hitting Jeffery with the franchise tag would cost the Bears more than $17 million, but Chicago lacks any reliable options at receiver behind him.
On Monday morning, NFL insider Ian Rapoport Tweeted that the Bears will not tag Jeffery, although Chicago has a few days to make a decision. He'd be the highest-profile free agent receiver.
Jeffery is 5/2 to go to the Philadelphia Eagles. CBS Sports' Jason La Canfora reported that the Eagles will make a run at Jeffery, but his price could approach $18 million per year. And according to Spotrac, the Eagles only have $11 million in cap space.
The San Francisco 49ers and Tennessee Titans are 5/1 and 10/1, respectively.
The 49ers have a new coach who could badly use a stud receiver.
"Play on the 49ers at +500 to land Jeffery," SportsLine's Larry Hartstein said. "They have more than $80 million in cap space and new coach Kyle Shanahan would love to add a physically dominant receiver like he had in Atlanta with Julio Jones. Tagging Jeffery would cost Chicago $17.5 million, a price the Bears aren't willing to pay given his injury history."
The Titans have a solid, if unspectacular receiving core led by Rishard Matthews, who had more TDs in 2017 (9) than the rest of his career combined (8).
"I'll say the Titans +1000," SportsLine expert Zack Cimini said. "They showcased an improved ground attack with Derrick Henry and DeMarco Murray, but lacked an efficient passing attack aside from Delanie Walker."
The Miami Dolphins are 12/1 to get Jeffery. The boys from South Beach seem set at receiver with Jarvis Landry, who is entering the last year of his contract and DeVante Parker. WR Kenny Stills is an unrestricted free agent.
Jeffrey going to the Baltimore Ravens is 20/1. The team needs a possession receiver after the retirement of Steve Smith and Jeffery, who has two seasons with over 80 receptions, could be the answer.
Now here's where Jeffery's future gets interesting. Any other team landing him ? in betting terms, the "field" ? is actually a strong -250 favorite. Bleacher Report said he'd be a perfect fit for the Cincinnati Bengals, who are starved for talent alongside AJ Green. Cincinnati also has $45 million in cap space.
The Arizona Cardinals could also be a landing spot. With Larry Fitzgerald having perhaps one year left in the tank, he could be the receiver of the future.
And depending upon what happens in Washington, DC with DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, both Washington Redskins free agents, Jeffery could wind up in the nation's capital.
From BookMaker.eu: Alshon Jeffery team in Week 1 of 2017-18 regular season:
- Baltimore Ravens +2500
- Chicago Bears +2500
- Miami Dolphins +1200
- Philadelphia Eagles +250
- Tennessee Titans +1000
- San Francisco 49ers +500
- Field -250