2017 Super Bowl Odds: Sharps vs. Squares Divide Emerging

Most of the public likes the Patriots, while professional bettors are mainly on the Falcons. Will that trend keep up as Super Bowl LI approaches?

 

It's hard to generalize on Super Bowl LI -- a game that will draw billions of dollars of action.

But four days before kickoff, a pattern is emerging. Casual bettors tend to prefer the Patriots -3 while professional bettors are mostly going with Atlanta plus the points.

Sportsline Image
EXCLUSIVE TO SPORTSLINE PRO MEMBERS
Sun 02/05 6:30 PM EST
New England -149 O/U 57.5
vs. Atlanta +125 +3
C
C
C
NE
ATL
VIEW FULL GAME ANALYSIS

"The majority of the sharp money is on Atlanta, but that could change," said Scott Cooley, odds consultant for BookMaker.eu, a major offshore sportsbook.

"About 58 percent of the public is on the Patriots," he continued. "The odds remain in a holding pattern; we haven't moved our line at all since Tuesday morning."

CBS SPORTS: WILL BRINSON'S SUPER BOWL PICK

To back New England -3 at BookMaker, you only have to risk $105 to win $100. You have to risk $115 to win $100 on Atlanta +3.

It's an indication the book wants Patriots money, to balance out big bets from heavy hitters on Atlanta.

Early in the week, CG Technology sportsbooks in Las Vegas received five-figure professional bets on the Falcons. Those seven books -- including at the Venetian, Cosmpolitan and Palms - have taken 62 percent of the bets on New England but 56 percent of the money on Atlanta.

Other books report similar breakdowns.

You can't blame the public for liking New England: The Pats covered 15 of 18 games and could become only the second team in NFL history to go 16-3 against the spread ('89 49ers).

And CBS Sports Vegas Insider Todd Fuhrman believes "you may see some sharp Pats money later in the week. It's not like last year, when the sharps were all on Denver."

Remember. no more than 20 percent of the Super Bowl handle has been wagered yet. Things can change quickly when tourists arrive for the weekend and sportsbooks raise their betting limits.

A record $132.5 million was bet on last year's Super Bowl at Nevada sportsbooks. Several bookmakers say Patriots-Falcons could challenge that figure.