Should they beat Pittsburgh, the Patriots would be favored by at least a touchdown no matter who they play in the Super Bowl, according to a major offshore sports book.
BookMaker.eu has released pointspreads on all four possible matchups in the 2017 Super Bowl in Houston.
|Super Bowl LI Pointspreads
New England would be a 7.5-point favorite over Atlanta, 7-point chalk over Green Bay. If the Steelers pull the upset, they'd be 3-point faves over the Falcons, 2.5-point chalk over the Packers.
These lines are not open for wagering, but you can already bet on the Super Bowl at the Westgate LV SuperBook. The AFC is a 3-point favorite, with a total of 54.5.
Here's a look at each potential Super Bowl matchup:
Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots (-7.5): This is a huge number, and my first inclination is: Grab the points with the NFL's top-scoring offense. Atlanta averaged 33.8 points in the regular season, then scored 36 on Seattle. With Tevin Coleman healthy, the Falcons have the league's most dynamic backfield to go along with arguably the NFL's best wideout, Julio Jones.
That's not to say the Patriots won't win their fifth Super Bowl. But I'd expect this line to close at 7 or below.
These teams haven't played since 2013 when the Pats won 30-23 in the Georgia Dome. New England has four straight in the series and leads overall, 7-6.
At Bovada.lv you can bet on which matchup will occur. This is the most likely pairing, at 4/1 odds.
Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots (-7): Again, at a touchdown or higher, my initial lean is to the dog. The Packers have won eight in row, covering seven, behind Aaron Rodgers' transcendent play.
Green Bay beat New England late in the 2014 season at Lambeau, 26-21, and leads the all-time series 6-5. Of course, the Packers won the biggest matchup: Super Bowl XXXI in New Orleans 20 years ago. Return specialist Desmond Howard won MVP as the Pack prevailed 35-21.
The odds of this matchup happening are 11/2 at Bovada.lv.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-3): This would be an incredible offensive showcase with so many elite playmakers on NRG Stadium's fast turf. I'd lean toward Atlanta at this key number.
These teams last played in 2014, a 27-20 Steelers win in the Georgia Dome. Pittsburgh leads the all-time series 13-2-1.
Bovada.lv has 14/1 odds on this matchup occurring.
Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5): Big Ben would be going for his third Super Bowl ring, Aaron Rodgers his second. Green Bay gave up 5.8 yards per carry to the Cowboys in the divisional round, and would have its hands full with Le'Veon Bell.
I'd expect Pittsburgh to control game flow and would lean toward the favorite.
The Pack leads the all-time series 19-15, though Pittsburgh won the last matchup, 38-31, at Lambeau in 2013. Bovada.lv calls this the most unlikely Super Bowl matchup, with 18/1 odds.