In November, Hall of Famer Eric Dickerson said his rookie rushing record of 1,808 yards was "safe" from Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott, who had just broken 1,000.
Now, entering Week 16, Elliott has 1,551 rushing yards. He needs 258 over the last two games to pass the Rams great.
A 129-yard-per-game performance seems doable, but Elliott is an underdog, according to fresh odds from BookMaker.eu, Bovada, and BetOnline.ag.
At BookMaker.eu, Zeke is +225 to shatter Dickerson's record (bet $100 to win $225). He's a -350 favorite (bet $350 to win $100) to fall short.
At Bovada, the odds are similar. Elliott is +200 to make history (bet $100 to win $200), but -300 to fall short (bet $300 to win $100).
At BetOnline.ag, Zeke is +200 to smash the record and -260 not to.
The reason: the high probability that the Cowboys rest starters.
With the Giants loss to the Eagles on Thursday night, Dallas won the NFC East and secured homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Why risk injury to one of the team's top playmakers over the last two weeks of the regular season?
As BookMaker's Scott Cooley put it, "There's no telling how much he plays over the final two weeks." BookMaker would not re-post odds following the Giants' loss since Zeke's playing time is a mystery right now.
Elliott is averaging 110 rushing yards per game and has 14 total TDs. However, he has failed to top 100 in five of his last eight games. A breather could go a long way.
In late October, fresh off four straight games of 130-plus rushing yards, Elliott was a -140 favorite on BookMaker to break Dickerson's record.
He broke the Cowboys' rookie rushing record, set by Tony Dorsett (1,007 yards) in just 10 games.
Pre-season, Elliott was just +900 (bet $100 to win $900) to lead the league in rushing yards. And at Bovada, the Over-Under on Elliott's rushing yards was just 900, a number he passed after nine games.
From BookMaker.eu: Will Ezekiel Elliott break the single-season rushing record for a rookie?
From Bovada: Will Ezekiel Elliott break the single-season rushing record for a rookie?
From BetOnline.ag: Will Ezekiel Elliott break the single-season rushing record for a rookie?