NFL MVP Odds: A-Rod now serious threat to Brady, Zeke

Aaron Rodgers won MVP in 2011 and 2014, and he's making a late bid to take home his third trophy this year. Find out the odds on all the major contenders with two regular-season weeks left.


Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott and QB Dak Prescott were just named to the Pro Bowl. They're still two of the greatest threats to Tom Brady for NFL MVP, as they have been most of the season. But now, Aaron Rodgers has entered the mix as well.

With his 60-yard strike to Jordy Nelson in the final minute Sunday, Rodgers vaulted himself back into the MVP race.

The two-time MVP -- who wasn't among the top 10 contenders when Green Bay was 4-6 -- has shot up the odds board and now sits third behind Tom Brady and Ezekiel Elliott.

If the Packers (8-6) finish the season on a six-game win streak and take the NFC North, without much of a running game, Rodgers could easily add to the MVP awards he won in 2011 and 2014.

Here's a look at the top 10 contenders, with updated odds from

QB TOM BRADY, Patriots, +250: His numbers won't be gaudy thanks to the four-game suspension he served to start the season. But it will be hard to argue against Brady if the Pats (12-2) win out and secure the AFC's top seed.

He's thrown 22 TDs against two INTs, and that's with Gronk contributing heavily in just five games. Brady also won MVP in 2007 and 2010.

RB EZEKIEL ELLIOTT, Cowboys, +325: The rookie has made a mockery of the rushing race -- he leads Tennessee's DeMarco Murray by 327 yards. With a season-high 159 rushing yards in Sunday night's 26-20 win over Tampa Bay, Elliott erased any notion of a late-season fade.

He's averaging 5.0 yards per carry, ranks third in the NFL with 14 touchdowns and has Dallas (12-2) on the verging of earning the NFC's top seed.

QB AARON RODGERS, Packers, +350: Despite hobbling around with a calf injury, Rodgers is playing at an MVP level. He did not throw a TD pass in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Bears, mainly because Davante Adams dropped two perfect throws in the end zone.

Rodgers' bomb to Nelson set up the winning field goal as time expired. A-Rod (32 TDs, 7 INTs) has not tossed an interception since Week 10.

QB MATT RYAN, Falcons, +500: Even playing without Julio Jones isn't slowing down Ryan. He leads the NFL's top offense (33.5 points per game) and is tied with Rodgers for second place in passing touchdowns (32, behind only Drew Brees' 34).

Leading the league with a 114.8 passer rating, Ryan has the Falcons on the verge of the NFC South crown and their first playoff berth since 2012.

QB MATTHEW STAFFORD, Lions, +750: He lost momentum with Sunday's 17-6 loss at the Giants, but Stafford still could win MVP if he carries the 9-5 Lions to wins over Dallas and Green Bay the next two weeks.

That would give Detroit its first division title since 1993. Like Rodgers, Stafford (3,720 passing yards, 22 TDs, 8 INTs) has overcome the lack of a running game, and he's playing through a dislocated middle finger.

QB DEREK CARR, Raiders, +1,000: Having led the Raiders to the playoffs for the first time in 14 years, Carr would seem to have a better chance than his odds suggest. But his twice-dislocated finger is clearly affecting him, as Oakland is playing exclusively from the shotgun.

Still, if Carr comes up with some magic to beat the Colts and Broncos the next two weeks, you never know. He's already set the NFL record with five game-winning TD passes this season in the fourth quarter or overtime.

QB DAK PRESCOTT, Cowboys, +2,500: The fourth-round rookie bounced back from his mini-slump by completing 32 of 36 throws for 279 yards in Sunday night's 26-20 win over Tampa Bay. He also scored his sixth rushing TD.

Just the fact that we're talking about Prescott in the MVP race is a shock, given where he was drafted.

QB BEN ROETHLISBERGER, Steelers, +3,000: Big Ben has Pittsburgh on a five-game win streak, in position to win its second AFC North title in three years. The four-time Pro Bowler has never won MVP.

When he returned from his knee injury in Week 9, Roethlisberger was shaky in a 21-14 loss at Baltimore. Big Ben gets a chance for redemption Sunday, as the Ravens visit Heinz Field with the division at stake.

QB RUSSELL WILSON, Seahawks, +3,500: As expected, Wilson rebounded from his five-INT disaster at Green Bay with a solid performance vs. the Rams. Wilson has thrown for 3,611 yards, but he's only accounted for 17 TDs with 12 turnovers.

Wilson's injuries and his suspect O-line have kept the fifth-year star from reaching the MVP level he found over the second half of last season.

QB ELI MANNING, Giants, +5,000: Here's another QB operating with little-to-no running game. Manning battles wind and inclement weather more regularly that other top signal callers, so his numbers don't sparkle as much.

But the two-time Super Bowl champ has the G-Men at 10-4 -- the NFC's second-best mark -- and he's coming off an efficient performance in the 17-6 win over Detroit.  Under Ben McAdoo's tutelage, Manning is completing a career-high 63.4 percent of his throws.