Philadelphia Eagles-Seattle Seahawks Picks Against the Spread

SportsLine analyst Josh Nagel breaks down Sunday's key NFC matchup between the surging Seahawks and a young and talented Eagles club. Here is his overview and ATS recommendation on the game.

 

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-6.5, O/U 44) Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET 

Two of the hottest teams in the NFC not named the Dallas Cowboys will collide Sunday when the suddenly surging Seahawks host the upstart Eagles.

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Philadelphia +235 O/U 43
Seattle -275 -6.5
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Seattle saw its offense, which just weeks ago was the NFL's worst, come alive for 420 yards in its 31-24 road upset of New England as a 7.5-point underdog.

Russell Wilson threw for 348 yards and three touchdowns, while versatile rookie running back C.J. Prosise had 153 combined yards from scrimmage.

Meanwhile, the Eagles snapped a two-game losing streak with a dominant home performance against the Falcons in a 24-15 win.

LINE MOVEMENT

This spread opened at Seattle -6.5 and has held steady throughout the week thus far. However, sharp action on the total has caused a drop from the opener of 45 to where it currently sits at 42.5.

Bookmaker.eu spokesman Scott Cooley said he anticipates sharp action on the underdog if this moves to the key number of -7, but most of the wagers thus far have been on the home chalk.

Cooley also said 75 percent of wagers on the total have favored the Under, manifested by the total dropping.

The Money Line moved from Seattle -250 to -278.

LAST WEEK

Both clubs are coming off perhaps their signature performances of the season, as the Eagles slowed Atlanta?s top-ranked offense in a 24-15 home win.

The Seahawks likely played their most complete game of the season as they overcame an early deficit and used a late goal-line stand to beat the Patriots 31-24 in New England.

Philadelphia opened as slight underdog but closed as a one-point favorite and the steam proved correct as the Eagles held the Falcons to just 303 total yards and forced a late interception from Matt Ryan to help seal the win.

Seattle was a 7.5-point underdog to New England, but its defense generated two turnovers and limited the Patriots to 385 yards. In a role reversal of the Super Bowl from a couple years back, the Seahawks stopped New England on four straight plays inside the 2-yard line.

TRENDS

The Eagles have failed to cover in their past four road games and are 1-4 ATS in their last five November games. The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS after scoring 30 or more points in their prior game, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall.

SPORTSLINE EXPERTS

SportsLine contributor Micah Roberts has a play on the spread in this game. Get his and all other SportsLine expert selections by clicking here.

SELECTION

I'm going to side with the public here and back the Seahawks, as I think they will on last week?s breakout performance as they finally looked like the team many observers expected to see when the season started.

The Eagles are a talented and dangerous young team, but they also have extreme home-road splits, with just one victory away from Philadelphia. Lack of poise down the stretch cost them potential road wins against Dallas and New York, and Seattle is a more difficult environment than either of those.

So long as this stays inside a touchdown, it's favorite or pass for me.