Openers: Buckeyes laying more than three TDs at Sparty

The Buckeyes are destroying Big Ten opponents, but should they be favored by more than three TDs in East Lansing? BookMaker odds consultant Scott Cooley explains the reasoning behind Week 12 opening lines.

 

Fresh off whipping Nebraska and Maryland by the same 62-3 score, Ohio State visits Michigan State on Saturday looking to solidify its status as a College Football Playoff team.

Get All Expert Picks Now for $9.99 a month

BookMaker.eu opened the Buckeyes as 21.5-point favorites over the Spartans, who blanked Rutgers 49-0 on Saturday to snap a shocking seven-game losing streak.

We talked to BookMaker odds consultant Scott Cooley to get his insight on Week 12 opening numbers:

OHIO STATE AT MICHIGAN STATE (+21.5), Sat., 12 p.m. ET

The Spartans won in Columbus last year, 17-14, and have taken three of the past five meetings. However, this Michigan State team does not resemble last year's.

"With their expected return to the CFP, the Buckeyes and the entire betting world knows they can't afford to slip up again so we have to take that into consideration," Cooley said. "We can't get too high on this because our huge sharp client base will be looking for value playing against Ohio State the rest of the way.'

Buckeyes junior RB Curtis Samuel will be looking to add to his 13 touchdowns, five of which have come the past two weeks. He's rushed for 637 yards and caught 57 passes for 750 yards.

OKLAHOMA AT WEST VIRGINIA (+3), Sat., 8 p.m. ET

The Sooners have alternated ATS losses and wins for eight weeks, starting with their Sept. 17 home defeat to Ohio State. Following Saturday's 45-24 win over Baylor as 17.5-point chalk, OU is on schedule to suffer an ATS loss in Morgantown.

However, Oklahoma comes in on a seven-game SU win streak and has beaten the Mountaineers four straight times.

"This will likely shape up as a classic sharps versus squares battle," Cooley said. "The general public hasn't really bought into West Virginia being a quality team while Oklahoma is one of the hottest in the country. If the wiseguys wager like we're expecting, this could close closer to a pick 'em."

West Virginia's defense came up big Saturday, getting three critical stops in the final 10 minutes of a 24-20 win at Texas. The Mountaineers are 5-0 at home.

FLORIDA AT LSU (-14), Sat., 1 p.m. ET

Aside from the disappointing second half against Alabama, the Tigers have basically played championship-level football for five straight games.

LSU also has won and covered three straight in this bitter rivalry. The spread hasn't been this high since 2011, when the Tigers rolled 41-11 in Baton Rouge.

"Even with a full bill of health, which they don't have, the Gators offense is not equipped to have success against a defense like LSU," Cooley said. "Plenty of motivation for both teams regarding conference ties and the postseason, but LSU is finally looking like the team we expected it to be, and it deserves to be heavy chalk here."