After upsetting No. 7 Texas A&M, Mississippi State visits Tuscaloosa as ... four-touchown underdogs?
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So it goes with Alabama. The top-ranked Crimson Tide -- who allowed 25 yards after halftime in their shutout of LSU -- opened as 29-point favorites for their Saturday afternoon home game against the Bulldogs.
We talked to BookMaker.eu odds consultant Scott Cooley for insight on Week 11's opening numbers.
MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS AT ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (-29), Sat., Noon ET
"The betting public won't think twice about Mississippi State beating the
supposedly fourth-best team in the country last week," Cooley said, referring to the fact that the Aggies entered Week 10 as the projected fourth playoff team.
"After the Tide covered again last week, we have no choice but to put up another enormous
spread. We'll undoubtedly be hurting for dog money once again."
Alabama covered 7.5 points in a 10-0 win in Death Valley. It was the Tide's fourth straight cover, and it came following a scoreless first half.
BAYLOR BEARS AT OKLAHOMA SOONERS (-14.5), Sat., Noon ET
The Soooners won their sixth straight Saturday but didn't come close to covering the 21-point spread in a 34-24 win at Iowa State. Baylor got annihilated 62-22 at home by TCU.
"The Big 12 is beginning to sink to the level of the Pac-12 in terms of 'Power 5' credibility," Cooley said. "It appears all of the off-field distractions and setbacks are finally starting to catch up to this Baylor squad. Oklahoma is the class of the conference, but this team still has its holes."
This opened at Oklahoma -14 before Sooners money immediately showed up, moving the line a half-point.
USC TROJANS AT WASHINGTON HUSKIES (-8), Sat., 7:30 p.m. ET
Jake Browning is coming off his second six-touchdown game, and the Huskies are right in the thick of the race for a playoff spot.
But USC comes in on a five-game win streak, having allowed an average of 19 points in the run.
"Certainly expecting some underdog money with the way USC has been playing of late," Cooley said. "That said, this is a very, very good Washington team, whether the committee realizes that or not. Compared to the Trojans' last handful of opponents, the level of competition is heightened exponentially here, but USC is a big public team so we had to carefully consider this number."
Southern Cal is 0-4 ATS in its past four visits to Washington.