Dallas Cowboys-Green Bay Packers Betting Angles and Pick

SportsLine analyst Josh Nagel previews the key NFC showdown Sunday between Dak Prescott and the Cowboys and Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Here is his overview and ATS selection.

DALLAS COWBOYS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (-4.5, O/U 47), Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET

The Cowboys and their red-hot rookie quarterback will look to keep their strong early season going when they visit veteran Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in a high-profile NFC showdown Sunday.

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Rodgers has been under scrutiny for his somewhat uneven play thus far. He completed 23 of 45 passes for 259 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in last week's 23-16 win over the Giants.

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EXCLUSIVE TO SPORTSLINE PRO MEMBERS
Sun 10/16 4:25 PM EDT
Dallas +190 O/U 47
Green Bay -240 -5
C
C
C
DAL
GB
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Meanwhile, Dallas rookie sensation Dak Prescott continues to impress and silence doubters as he threw for 227 yards and a touchdown and ran for another score in leading the Cowboys to a 28-14 win over the Bengals for their fourth straight victory.

LINE MOVEMENT

As Bookmaker.eu spokesman Scott Cooley correctly points out, this is a battle of two of the most popular teams in public favor when it comes to the wagering industry.

The number opened at Packers -4, and has been moved to -4.5 because the only serious bets thus far have been on the Packers, Cooley said. The overall ticket count slightly favors Dallas as of Thursday afternoon.

"My guess is we'll see this close somewhere near the opener of -4," Cooley said.

LAST WEEK

The Packers have pushed the spread in each of the last two weeks against the closing line as touchdown home favorites against the Lions and Giants.

However, underdog supporters who acted early earned a winning ticket as +7.5 was available on both road teams when action opened before the ultra-valuable hook disappeared on the key number. The spread was also shaded toward the favorite on most parlay cards.

The Cowboys opened as a pick'em against the Bengals in most markets but closed at +2 as many observers believed Cincinnati?s experienced defense would get the best of Prescott and the Cowboys.

But Dallas supporters were rewarded as the Cowboys stormed to a 21-point lead and cruised to a two-touchdown victory.

TRENDS

The home team has covered in 10 of the last 13 meetings in this matchup. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with the Cowboys. The Cowboys are 6-1 to the Under in their past seven road games.

SPORTSLINE EXPERTS

CBS Sports analyst R.J. White has a spread selection on this game. Get his and all other SportsLine picks by clicking here.

SELECTION

The Cowboys have earned the respect they are getting in this spread, but many handicappers slept on their value against teams such as the Redskins and Bengals.

This adjustment drains the value on Dallas, which likely would have been a touchdown underdog at Green Bay just a few weeks ago.

Accordingly, this opens up some value on a Packers club that has won their past two despite somewhat uneven performances.

I think Rodgers and friends will exploit a Dallas passing defense that ranks No. 21 in the NFL at 261 yards per game; Green Bay covers -- winning by at least a touchdown.