2025 Cup Series Championship Race odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, predictions by top model

The 2025 NASCAR Playoffs have reached their conclusion as the final race will be held on Sunday with the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race. Held at Phoenix Raceway, a new Cup Series champion will be crowned at 2025 NASCAR at Phoenix after last year's winner, Joey Logano, was eliminated in the Round of 8. The four contenders for the crown are William Byron, who won last week at Martinsville, as well as Chase Briscoe, Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson. Meanwhile, Christopher Bell, who was also knocked out in the Round of 8, won the NASCAR Phoenix race in the spring.

Hamlin, who has yet to win a Cup Series title, is the +400 favorite in the latest NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race 2025 odds. Larson and Byron are both at +500, Ryan Blaney is at +650, and Briscoe comes in at +700. You can make NASCAR at Phoenix bets on others outside the top four as there are some intriguing NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race props to consider. Todd Gilliland has notched top 10s in each of the last two weeks and has +1000 NASCAR odds to get a third in a row at Phoenix.

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The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, and the race is scheduled for 312 laps around the 1.022-miles dogleg oval track. Before making any NASCAR at Phoenix predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated Sunday's 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.

McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then it went on to predict Kyle Larson in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell's NASCAR All-Star Race win (+600), Denny Hamlin's wins in Michigan (+650) and Las Vegas (+650), Shane van Gisbergen's win in Mexico City (+330), Elliott's win in Atlanta (+1500), and van Gisbergen again in Chicago (+150), Sonoma (+125), Watkins Glen (+135) and Charlotte (-105).

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and has hit 11 winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Phoenix 2025 and released its projections.

For Sunday's 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race, we can tell you the model is high on Tyler Reddick, even though he's a longshot at +1600 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Phoenix odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for this weekend: Christopher Bell finishes top 5 for a +115 payout. He's a potentially a strong value pick for your Phoenix NASCAR prop bets.

The model is also targeting ONE OTHER driver with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs this driver could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race, and which EPIC longshot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 29 winners!

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