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2023 Sam F. Davis Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Horse racing writer has best bets for Saturday's Kentucky Derby prep race

In the last three weeks, SportsLine horse racing writer Gene Menez has nailed the winner of the Lecomte Stakes, the exacta in the Southwest Stakes and the winner of the Holy Bull Stakes. On Saturday he looks to hit his fourth straight Kentucky Derby prep race: the 2023 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs

By@genemenezPublished: Feb 11, 2023 6:32PM UTC . 3 min read

Remsen Stakes winner Dubyuhnell will try to take another step toward the Kentucky Derby when he leaves the starting gate in the 2023 Sam F. Davis Stakes on Saturday at Tampa Bay Downs outside Tampa, Fla. Trained by Danny Gargan, Dubyuhnell has two wins in three career starts. He is coming off a half-length victory in the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes on Dec. 3 at Aqueduct. For Saturday he has been installed as the 9-5 morning-line favorite in the Sam. F. Davis Stakes odds. Champions Dream is the 9-2 second choice in the 12-horse Sam F. Davis Stakes field. Post time is 5:18 p.m. ET. 

With 12 lightly raced 3-year-olds set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see what SportsLine writer Gene Menez has to say before making any Sam F. Davis Stakes picks.

A former reporter and editor at Sports Illustrated, Menez covered an array of sports, including horse racing, for the magazine and its website for almost 14 years. Between 2010 and 2012, he served as SI's handicapper for the Triple Crown races and correctly predicted Super Saver to win the Kentucky Derby in 2010. In 2015, while writing for Sports on Earth, Menez accurately gave out the Kentucky Derby superfecta (American Pharoah, Firing Line, Dortmund and Frosted), which paid $1,268.20 for $2. Then in 2017, he tweeted out his Kentucky Derby picks, including Always Dreaming to win, and hit the Pick 4, which paid almost $6,900 on a $1 bet.

On Dec. 26, Menez hit the Pick 5 at Santa Anita Park for $798.70. Three weeks ago he cashed the winner of the Lecomte Stakes for $172.50. Two weeks ago he nailed the exacta in the Southwest Stakes for $468, and last week he hit the winner of the Holy Bull Stakes for $180.

Now, Menez has handicapped the field for the Sam F. Davis Stakes, made his picks and formulated his bets.

Menez's top pick is not Dubyuhnell, even though he is the 9-5 morning-line favorite. "While there's forecast for rain on Saturday, there's no guarantee that the track will be sloppy for Dubyuhnell," Menez told SportsLine. Menez prefers four horses over the favorite and is using the horse only sparingly in his wagers.

Instead, Menez's top pick is a horse who "will benefit with the added distance." He also is high on a big double-digit longshot whose "price is too good to pass up." He is including these horses in his wagers, and so should you. You NEED to see which horses they are before making any Sam F. Davis Stakes picks of your own.

So who wins the Sam F. Davis Stakes? What double-digit longshot is a must-back? And how has Menez constructed his wagers? ... Join SportsLine now to get Sam F. Davis Stakes picks and wagers, all from the expert who has nailed three straight Kentucky Derby prep races!

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